← Return to Rewinder: AI Analysis of AI Analysis of Film

OVERLAY REPORT

1/13/2026 // SUBJECT: Financial performance of Arrival (2016) Processing: 1m 28.3s
Source: Gemini 3.0 Flash + Search
Analysis: gemini-3-pro-preview
Timeline: Skipped
EXPERIMENTAL USE ONLY
Errors Missing Unverified Supported
1 1 0 13
How were these counts calculated?

#Q ORIGINAL QUESTION

Regarding the film Arrival (2016), how much did the film make at both the box office and after (detail breakdown), and how did that compare to its budget?

#M ANNOTATED LLM RESPONSE

The film Arrival (2016) was a major financial and critical success, particularly notable for its "legs" (longevity in theaters) and high return on investment (ROI) for a non-franchise, cerebral science-fiction drama.

1. Financial Breakdown

The Budget

Box Office Performance

Post-Theatrical (Home Media & Ancillary)

In the "after-market," Arrival continued to perform well due to strong word-of-mouth and its status as a "thinking person's" sci-fi film.


2. Comparison to Budget & Profitability

Arrival is cited as a textbook example of a "prestige" hit because its earnings far exceeded the traditional industry "break-even" threshold (usually 2.5x the production budget).

Metric Figure Notes
Budget-to-Box Office Ratio ~4.3x A ratio of 4.3 indicates the film was highly profitable before home media.
Theatrical Multiplier (Legs) 4.18x This measures its domestic total against its $24M opening. High multipliers (anything >3x) indicate strong word-of-mouth.
Distributor ROI (Paramount) High Paramount's $20M acquisition of US/China rights yielded a $100M+ domestic gross, making it one of their most efficient investments of 2016.

3. Why it Succeeded Financially

#F CORRECTION FEED (CLICK TO SEARCH)

[1] The film was a financial success with a $47M budget and $200M+ gross.
[2] Production budget is widely reported as $47 million.
[3] P&A costs are rarely public, but $25-40M is a standard estimate for a mid-budget wide release with an awards campaign.
[4] Paramount purchased North American and Chinese rights for $20 million at Cannes 2014.
[5] Domestic gross was $100.5 million.
[6] International gross ranges from $102.8M (Box Office Mojo) to $112.2M (The Numbers).
[7] Worldwide total is $203.4M (Box Office Mojo) or $212.8M (The Numbers).
[8] Domestic video sales totaled ~$20.6 million ($14.2M Blu-ray, $6.4M DVD).
[9] The multiplier is calculated as Domestic Total ($100.5M) divided by Opening Weekend ($24M), which equals ~4.18.
[10] Opening weekend gross was $24,074,047.
[11] While the acquisition was efficient, the China box office was only ~$15.9M, meaning the 'China rights' portion was not a major profit driver compared to the US performance.
[12] Interstellar's budget was approximately $165 million.
[13] The Martian's budget was approximately $108 million.
[14] Arrival received 8 Academy Award nominations.

#O MISSED POINTS & OVERSIGHTS

Low
China Box Office Performance

The summary mentions Paramount bought China rights but omits that the film underperformed in China (~$15.9M), which provides important context to the 'efficient investment' claim.

#C RELATED QUERIES

#01 What was the specific box office gross of Arrival in China?
#02 Did Arrival make a net profit according to Deadline's tournament?
#03 How does Arrival's multiplier compare to other 2016 sci-fi films?

#S SOURCES

latimes.com wikipedia.org wikipedia.org boxofficemojo.com boxofficemojo.com chinafilminsider.com wikipedia.org reddit.com

#R ORIGINAL AI RESPONSE

#A DIRECT ANSWER (VERIFIED ANALYSIS)