Context Report: Sickest Generation
Quote: "Today's children are the sickest generation in American history in terms of chronic disease and these preventable trends continue to worsen each year, posing a threat to our nation's health, economy, and military readiness."
Summary: While chronic conditions in children have increased from approximately 23% to 30% between 1999-2018, characterizing today's children as the "sickest generation in American history in terms of chronic disease" ignores dramatic historical improvements in child survival and fundamentally misrepresents what constitutes being "sick."
Core Context
- The claim that today's children are the "sickest generation in American history in terms of chronic disease" has been previously promoted by anti-vaccine advocacy groups, particularly Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s Children's Health Defense organization (NPR, Science-Based Medicine).
- While chronic conditions in children have increased from approximately 23% to 30% between 1999-2018, this claim ignores dramatic historical improvements in child survival and life expectancy (UCLA Health).
- Historically, child mortality was devastating: in 1900, 30.4% of all deaths occurred in children under 5 compared to just 1.4% in 1997, and infant mortality dropped from 100 deaths per 1,000 births in 1915 to 7.1 per 1,000 in 1999 (NCBI).
- The increase in chronic disease diagnoses is significantly influenced by better diagnostic capabilities, expanded definitions of conditions like autism and ADHD, and increased access to healthcare rather than children actually being "sicker" (Science-Based Medicine).
- Medical experts have systematically debunked this claim, showing it relies on cherry-picked studies with different methodologies and deceptive statistical comparisons to create an artificially dramatic narrative (Science-Based Medicine).
Sources Table: "Today's Children Are the Sickest Generation in American History"
Source | Description of position on issue | Link | Initial Usefulness Rating | Specificity of Claims | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
UCLA Health/Academic Pediatrics Research | Reports documented increase in chronic conditions from 23% to 30% (1999-2018) but emphasizes this is primarily driven by ADHD, autism, asthma – conditions with expanded diagnostic criteria | UCLA Health | 5 | High – specific dates, percentages, sample sizes | |
Science-Based Medicine (Dr. David Gorski) | Systematically debunks "sickest generation" claim, shows it relies on cherry-picked studies with different methodologies and deceptive statistical comparisons | Science-Based Medicine | 5 | Very High – detailed methodology critique, specific studies analyzed | |
2025 MAHA Report (Trump Administration) | Claims today's children are "sickest generation in American history," blames ultra-processed foods, chemicals, overmedicalization; initially contained fabricated citations | NPR | 2 | Medium – broad claims, contained errors | |
CDC Historical Mortality Data | Shows dramatic decline in child mortality: 30.4% of deaths in children under 5 in 1900 vs 1.4% in 1997; infant mortality from 100/1000 (1915) to 7.1/1000 (1999) | NCBI | 5 | Very High – specific mortality rates, years, percentages | |
WHO Global Immunization Research | Documents that vaccination saved 154 million lives over 50 years and accounts for close to half of global reduction in infant mortality | WHO | 5 | High – specific numbers, timeframes, global scope | |
Children's Health Defense (RFK Jr.) | Promotes "sickest generation" narrative, claims 54% of children have chronic illness, links to vaccine expansion since 1986; source of much of the rhetoric | Age of Autism | 2 | Medium – specific percentages but methodology questionable | |
Open University Historical Data | Shows more than 50% of deaths in England/Wales in mid-19th century were from infections, with children at greatest risk – rates far higher than anywhere today | Open University | 4 | High – historical mortality data with specific percentages | |
CNN/Reuters Fact-Checking | Documents that MAHA report initially contained fabricated citations to non-existent studies, undermining credibility of the government report | CNN | 4 | High – specific false citations identified | |
Our World in Data | Provides comprehensive historical context showing child mortality declined from ~50% historically to 4% globally by 2020 | Our World in Data | 5 | Very High – global data, long historical perspective | |
CDC Military Recruitment Data | Confirms 71% of 17-24 year olds cannot qualify for military service as of 2018, primarily due to obesity, but military has adapted with prep programs | CDC | 4 | High – specific percentages, dates, military context | |