Doug starts with professional competence but limited control — he runs heists cleanly but serves Fergie and can't contain Jem. Control peaks at beats 15-18 when he neutralizes the tattoo evidence and deepens the Claire relationship, then collapses through Act Four as the FBI closes in, Fergie reveals his mother's death, and Claire throws him out. Agency stays higher than control throughout — Doug is always acting, always scheming — but plummets when Fergie traps him into the Fenway job. The partial recovery at beat 40 is geographic escape without emotional resolution: Doug reaches Florida but loses everyone.